U.S. analyst claims Canadian govt. estimates of F-35 fighter costs far too low
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U.S. analyst claims Canadian govt. estimates of F-35 fighter costs far too low

Ottawa : Canada | Apr 05, 2011 at 4:08 PM PDT
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The costs of these F-35 jets has been a hot issue during this election campaign. Opposition parties have constantly criticised the Conservative government for cost estimates that are far below what the actual costs will be. The government so far simply stands by its estimates even though more and more sources say they are far too low.

The governments sets the cost of a jet at 75 million but according to a U.S. defence that is not near the actual cost.Winslow Wheeler, of the Centre for Defence Information in Washington, said at a press conference on Parliament Hill that "nobody on this earth" is going to end up paying $75 million per jet by the time the planes, currently in production, are fully tested and developed. The cost will be more in the neighbourhood of $148 million, he said. So the Conservative government estimate is actually about half the real cost if the analyst is correct.

The F-35 purchase will be the largest military procured in Canadian history. The Parliamentary Budget Officer has also given a higher estimate of the costs than the government. His figure is the same as Winslows. The Liberals would scrap the agreement to buy the planes if elected---which seems unlikely!

The analyst also said:"This airplane is nothing to write home about," He alsol said even if they do end up being "as advertised" when it's finally finished, the model is still "a gigantic performance disappointment.""You're getting an underperforming airplane for a huge amount of money,"

Canada is planning to buy 65 of the fighter jets made by Lockhee Martin through the Joint Strike Fighter project, a U.S.-led multinational purchase program that began in 1996.

Winslow worked for more than 30 years on Capitol Hill for Republican and Democrat senators and for the U.S. General Accounting Office. Harper has always defended the purchas and points out that the purchase will creaste jobs in Canada's aerospace industry. No doubt at huge expense to Canadian taxpayers. He says that the Liberal plane would mean a loss of 278 million already invested in the project.

The Conservatives also argue that the F-35 deal is bringing economic benefits to Canada's aerospace industry and the Liberal plan to back out of it would hurt the industry and mean that more than $278 million already invested in the project would be lost.

In the JSF program, partner countries are sharing the costs of developing, producing and buying the planes. Wheeler is a critic of the process, advocating instead for the "fly before you buy" approach. In the process used it seems not only do you buy a pig in a poke but you pay to produce the pig as well before you buy it. Before the plane is completed there could obviously be cost overruns and more problems.

Winslow thinks a competitive process is better:"Compete several procurement-ready prototypes and then make a decision. That's the way some of our most successful airplanes were done,". "You have plenty of time to do that, your CF-18s are going to be around for a few more years."

Wheeler suggest that Auditor General Sheila Fraser conduct an audit on the government's decision making on the F-35. "We do that routinely in the United States,"

Although Wheeler felt it was not his place to suggest what Canada would do he said:"As an American, this program should be terminated immediately. It's unaffordable and the performance is unacceptable already. We need to start over and form a competitive fly before you buy selection," The purchase reflects badly on Canadian priorities that we should make such a huge process when our health care system needs more funds and we could use plenty of work on our infrastructure.

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A pre-production model of the F-35 as shown in file photo. (Northrop Grumman/Associated Press) The government estimates for costs of the jets is disputed by the opposition and experts.

northsunm32 is based in Brandon, Manitoba, Canada, and is an Anchor for Allvoices.
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Posted By JPaul JPaul | about 1 year ago
The sky is the limit when it comes to what politicians will pay for war machines. Off course once they get them they will want to use them. No sense in keeping all of these planes just sitting in hangers.

The wheels of war continue to turn and the future of humanity continues to burn.

Very sad indeed. I would love to see a "war" on disease, poverty, and hunger. How about a war on energy inefficiency? The energy efficiency troops could attack leaks around the windows and doors of citizens nationwide making them impervious to air leakage.

Funny, I know, but so much more sane.
Posted By albertacowpoke Karl Gotthardt | about 1 year ago
I have heard several ways of approaching the cost. The Parliamentary Budget officers was flawed in that the used past models of procuring military hardware. My understanding is that this purchase does not include development and testing costs.

An analyst recently said the later the aircraft is purchased in the production process, i.e. at the end of a production line, the cheaper the aircraft becomes. Having said that, apparently the proposed delivery of these aircraft is near the beginning of the production line. What is also noteworthy is the ones Canada intends to buy are not the models troubled by problems that have increased costs for the Pentagon. Needless to say, it is my belief that the actual cost will be higher than the budgeted $9 Billion for purchases.

The Liberals are opening up their trap again and hopefully if they do get in, they don't repeat what happened with the helicopter purchase that Chretien cancelled. That was an expensive breach of contract with helicopter replacements still needed.

The fact is, if Canada wants to play with the big boys in NATO, as it did in Bosnia and now in Libya, it will require some fighter aircraft. Personally I say we phase the fighter fleet out and concentrate on the missions that we can do.

What has always been missing in Canada is a White Paper that lays out the overall mission of the Canadian forces, it's roles and tasks. The old Defend Canada's Souvereignity, CANUS co-operation and peacekeeping missions is to broad for military planners to come up with a decent capital procurement plan.

I suspect the Liberals would buy this aircraft as well. Going with any other version that is started from scratch would be totally unrealistic and cost a lot more.
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  • A pre-production model of the F-35 as shown in file photo. (Northrop Grumman/Associated Press) The government estimates for costs of the jets is disputed by the opposition and experts.

    F-35 jet

    F-35 jet
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    A pre-production model of the F-35 as shown in file photo. (Northrop ...

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