The Republican Party is going through a painful process of soul-searching and post-election examination, trying to determine how and where it all went so wrong for them just two years after a landslide sweep in the 2010 midterm elections.
Blame is falling onfor not being a true conservative; on the party establishment for not endorsing a more conservative candidate; on Hurricane Sandy for breaking any momentum Romney may have had; and on the party’s Senate candidates who were a drag on the ticket. The simple fact is that the GOP lost the Electoral College because they have failed to make inroads with Hispanic voters, resulting in Midwestern states like Nevada, Colorado and New Mexico all safely falling into the Democratic column.
Whileis not Hispanic, he does have a natural affiliation, particularly with his wife and children. But that’s not the reason why he should be considered the frontrunner for the 2016 Republican nomination for president.
The Republican Party has not won a presidential election without a Bush or Richard Nixon on the ticket since 1928! That is an incredible indictment of the power of two names within one party and with the populace in general.
The GOP has a long history of tradition. In 1976was runner-up to for the presidential nomination, and in 1980 Reagan was rewarded with the nomination. In 1980 George H.W. Bush was runner-up to Reagan for the nomination, and in 1988 Vice President Bush was rewarded with the nomination. In 1988 was runner-up to Bush for the nomination, and in 1996 Dole was rewarded with the nomination. In 2000 was runner-up to for the nomination, and in 2008 McCain was rewarded with the nomination. And in 2008 Mitt Romney was runner-up to McCain for the nomination, and he was rewarded with the nomination in 2012. Tradition would dictate that should be favored in 2016, but the next election could turn out to be similar to 2000, when the power of the Bush name usurped tradition.
Jeb Bush has a lot going for him. He has the name; he has the connections; he is an incredibly popular former two-term governor of one of the key swing states; he has a Hispanic wife; he is considered a conservative by the conservative wing of the party. And without a viable candidate with the surname of Nixon, he bears the best chance of following the party’s other tradition of presidential electoral success.
Post-script to report (11/10/2012): George P. Bush, son of Jeb Bush, has filed initial paperwork to run for state-wide office in Texas in 2014. There may well be a Bush on the Republican ticket in 2016 yet. http://www.politico.com/news/stories/111
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