With the presidential race going neck to neck in opinion polls, Obama has a wide lead among those who have voted early, according to a recent survey by Reuters/Ipsos.
Obama is 28 points ahead of Romney among early voters according to the data complied during the last few weeks. Out of all those surveyed, 7 percent said they have already voted. The online polling system is likely to effect the early voting more than it did in 2008, when 1/3 of the votes casted their ballots before the final election day. Residents of at least 40 states are currently involved in early voting.
Obama got an edge over Senator John McCain in 2008 elections and he aims to do the same this time as well. While both campaigns are urging supporters to cast an early vote so each candidate can focus more fully on those who are still undecided, Obama campaign claims to be leading among early voters in Iowa and Ohio, and is just a little bit behind in other swing states than it was in 2008.
"We've made early investments in battleground states - where we've been registering folks and keeping an open conversation going with undecided voters for months - to build a historic grass-roots organization that will pay off when the votes are counted," spokesman Adam Fetcher said according to a report by Reuters.
While Obama campaign is rejoicing over its early voter lead, Romney campaign is boasting about post debate enthusiasm it has experienced among those who had already made up their mind as well as a few undecided voters.
Romney campaign insists that while Obama may be leading in swing states, early voters are on their side in several battle states like Florida, Nevada, Colorado and North Carolina. "Not only are we keeping pace with the vaunted Obama machine, but we believe our ground game will put us over the finish line on Election Day," said Rich Beeson, the Romney campaign's political director.
Despite what the polls on early voters show, Michael McDonald, an expert on early voting said it’s difficult to predict the early voting affect on the final election outcome. He noted that Obama has twice the number of early voters in Iowa than Romney, nonetheless, “the good news for Romney is day to day, incrementally, the numbers shift in his direction, so he may be able to catch up," McDonald said.
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According to Political Class pundits, the race for the White House was turned upside down by a single debate. The reality, however, is that a very close race shifted ever so slightly from narrowly favoring President Obama to narrowly favoring Mitt Romney. Either way, it remains too close to call.
The difference is that voters base their decisions on the substantive issues in the world around them. The Political Class is distracted by superficial imagery, an obsession with the game of politics and the sound of their own voices.
While it might be boring to those in the Political Class, Election 2012 has been stable all year. Oh, sure, there have been occasional mini-surges where one candidate gained a little ground temporarily. But it's been close all along.
An Electoral College analysis in January showed that four states were likely to be decisive -- Ohio, Virginia, Florida, and North Carolina.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/political_commentary/commentary_by_scott_rasmussen/polls_reflect_voter_reality_not_pundits_preoccupations
I think that says it all. Too close to call. As an example in today's Rasmussen Daily Tracking poll Romney has a slight lead of 49% to 47%, a statistical tie. The same goes for the swing states mentioned above.
The Neocons will have Mitt Romney elected to first use him and then let him fall easy prey. All blames and responsibilities will fall on the new Mormon president for the events already planned.
The new World War of Religion is already a done deal behind the backs of all people which will be forced to fight for their own Countries in their obligation as citizens.
…………
Since 9/11 it's the War on Terror.
One "false flag" attack so called by error.
Blair, Bush, and Israel had a Pact in store.
Their next surprise is knocking at your door.
A hidden vile Idea from those who want "more".
will use you and your Belief for the next World War.
As "chosen people" gain while Humankind loses.
Greed wins not by the swords but by the words of Moses.
Daring is to tell you when, better then to tell you rhymes.
could not side with either one to get ready for our times.
to look beyond and past today to seek for a solution.
one only hope is there for you and spells Wavevolution
...................
A new type of Revolution wins with the ultimate weapon:
Your Mind
http://www.wavevolution.org/en/humanwaves.htm
The results of Nov 6 are what will count, including the early voting. My only concern about early voting is how many dead people have already voted Democrat (several times each). The system is ripe for abuse and fraud. Not to mention the dems great ability to block and or time out the periods that let our overseas military members vote. They manage to block those, but fight to keep "no ID required" voting active here.
I stand by my prediction that Romney will win by a large margin - large enough that it can't be stolen. This is not wishful thinking on my part - even though I want it to come out this way - but based on every indicator EXCEPT the skewed polls we get from a media determined to prop up a very weak candidate.