According to a latest poll results by NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist, Obama leads Romney in New Hampshire, while the two presidential hopefuls are locked in a close fight in Nevada and North Carolina.
President Obama has a lead by 51 to 44 percent with Romney among voters in New Hampshire. He’s also ahead of his rival in Nevada and North Carolina; however, the numbers are within the margin of error with 49 to 47 percent in Nevada and 48 to 46 percent in North Carolina.
“New Hampshire seems to be following the similar trends we’re seeing elsewhere,” said Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion. So far, the Wall Street/ Marist polls have conducted polls in 9 major battlegrounds - Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia, and Wisconsin - all of which have seen Obama leading by 2 or more points.
Romney campaign experienced a major set back following his criticism on the President’s foreign policy regarding the Middle Eastern violence and his leaked video from a private May fundraiser in which he accused Obama supporters of having a ‘victim mentality’. That, combined with the release of his 2011 tax returns, gave a difficult one-month to the Republican challenger. Obama, on the other hand, saw his favorability ratings boost after former President, Bill Clinton’s speech at the DNC earlier this month.
“What Romney needs is to have a broader shift thorough the electorate,” Miringoff said, “because the pattern state by state, with some variation, is that Obama has gotten to 50, or in the high 40s. So, there’s a gap in these states that has emerged … Romney has to change the numbers in most, if not all, of these states.”
Romney also trails behind Obama in women voters with the president having a lead by 20 points in New Hampshire, 16 points in North Carolina and 11 points in Nevada. With respect to the White voters, Obama has nearly closed the gap between his support now and in 2008. While the number of young voters is not expected to be as high as it was in 2008, the minority voters are likely to make up for them as they continue to back Obama with the same force as before.
Obama’s approval rating has also shot up by three points to 50 percent in New Hampshire, while it is unchanged in North Carolina and up by one point in Nevada. In terms of favorability, Obama is considered more favorable than Romney in all three states while more voters than before believe that the ‘direction of the country’ is improving.