PAKISTAN IN SEARCH OF A FOREIGN POLICY
By Azhar Masood, for ALL VOICES
When Pakistan faces a hostile media in the United States it must look back to trace its own follies.the United States remained unfair with Islamabad during the most expensive man-hunt of World’s biggest terrorist Osama Bin Laden ,policy –makers ,including civil and military leadership in Pakistan offered a confused response instead of controlling the damage done by a series of fowls played by US-led NATO alliance in Afghanistan. Beginning from the conduct of a hired assassin Raymond Davis, down the line ,unilateral killing of Osama Bin Laden on May 2 ,2012, and finally an attack of Pakistan military’s forward at Salala, both civil and military leadership offered childish response in handling a very serious matter. Though Pakistan blocked logistics ‘ supplies of the NATO forces operating in Afghanistan ,instead of offering an amicable solution that could have facilitated the US-led NATO alliance Pakistan’s Parliament took over the issue not only of attack over Salala forward post by the NATO gunships but also of CIA generated drone attacks in Pakistan’s tribal regions.
A military to military solution could have been taken perfect. But by politicizing the issue ,in the longer term Pakistan will economically suffer and diplomatically further isolated. Political leadership in Pakistan is indeed waiting for two major elections –the Presidential Election of the United States and upcoming general election in Pakistan in 2013.this remained one of the main reasons for a delayed response to American generals who recently visited Pakistan and Central Asian States including Uzbekistan in search of an alternative route for NATO logistic supplies.
Pakistan’s politicians are demanding from an apology over Salala incident to Pakistan’s equal right for future nuclear procurement from the United States like India. But a delayed response to the US quest for NATO land supply line through Pakistan will only and only hurt larger interests of Pakistan.
Pakistan’s relations with the United States are facing temporary turbulence but the two countries have no other choice but to cohabit. No matter the US pulls its for from Afghanistan or no. To me The United States ,in line with President Obama’s promises and electoral threats will make a ‘token withdrawal” from Afghanistan but at the same time keep a ‘strong presence ‘ in Asian landlocked state of Afghanistan. It has to achieve a multi-diamensional agenda which obviously include quick interdiction to China and Russia for their interests in Central and South Asian region.
United States’ Envoy to Kabul Rayon Crocker told journalists in Kabul , “I would not rule out an Afghan-US or Coalition –Afghan treaty that provides Coalition forces to have presence in landlocked Afghanistan beyond 2014”.
Crocker further stated “ They would obviously remain on bases although. I would expect they would be joint bases .I do not know that for a fact”.
Croker further stated ,” I offer this fearless prediction. They will not be permanent”.
There are two views fast emerging. Will the United States leave Afghanistan as the schedule announced by President Obama or will it have and strong presence. I would say It would keep its presence both in Afghanistan and Pakistan.
What special love the United States has for a country which its strategists term as a Cockpit to Asian continent.
There are two views fast emerging. Will the United States leave Afghanistan as the schedule announced by President Obama or will it have strong presence in the region. My candid opinion remains the United States will make token withdrawal and keeps its strong presence in Pakistan’s neighbourly land-locked state of Afghanistan.
Historic tragedy with Afghanistan in it always invites interference from its neighbours for its being a land-locked state. Herat will always continue to invite interference from Iran, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan for number of ethnic ,cultural and sectarian reasons, Provinces: Jowzjan, Faryab, Balkh, Samangan, Kunduz, Baglan, Takar, Sar-e Pol, and Badakshan will continue to hobnob with Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan and South Eastern provinces which constitute majority Pashtun population ,include Kandhar, Ghazni, Khost, Kunar, Laghman, Nangarhar, Paktika, and Paktya , will keep strong linkage with Pakistan for strong linguistic and cultural affinity. This ,is so in blunt terms is and will remain and strong worry for United States and India. Both newly wed-locked states do nurture desire which perhaps the nature does not allow.
In the 10 years since U.S. troops went into Afghanistan to root out the al-Qaida leaders behind the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, spending on the conflicts totaled $2.3 trillion to $2.7 trillion.
Those numbers will continue to soar when considering often overlooked costs such as long-term obligations to wounded veterans and projected war spending from 2012 through 2020.
Economically, the results are also mixed. War spending may be adding half a percentage point a year to growth in the gross domestic product but that has been more than offset by the negative effects of deficit spending, the report concludes.
Current Manager is President Barack Hussain Obama. Whom ,as a side note, top American writers only mention as Barack H. Obama .Its a clear indication of white writers of United States that they so feel uncomfortable with the name Hussain.
Barack Hussain Obama ‘s journey from Springfield capital of Illinois to Washington DC was completed with promises of “No Wars” and “Withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan and Iraq” .
While it was a worry of first black President of the United States how to pull out American troops from these two Muslim countries. The US Army initially deployed its Muslim soldiers in these two subjugated states later realization of Islamic baptisation dawned at the level of PENTAGON military planners. They ,the US strategists’ are left with the option of stationing black or Spanish or available human resources from India.
These are the questions being debated at top ranking think tanks like Rand Corporation, Acton Institute,
Carnegie Endowment ,Center for Economic and Policy Research ,Council of Foreign Relations and countless other organizations. Because extra-body bags will hamper upcoming presidential campaign.
Let us wait and see which party, I mean Democratic or Republican comes out with a more catchy slogan. That will determine the course of United States, Pakistan ,Afghanistan and other regional countries as well.
To start with Republicans as I had earlier mentioned its Rick Perry who is gaining ground. To my surprise Rick Perry’s first Pakistani guest was former military president General Pervez Musharraf. An indication of ,”job again to be given to Pakistan Army and not politicians because they are more corrupt, weak and unreliable .This could have been at a hypothetical analysis but when it comes to next , who so ever he will be the US President , will remain a major worry.
But the war mongers in the United States who will prefer to provide a flip to declining US economy cheap soldiers are only available from the South Asian region. According topolitical system of Pakistan remained a big No Worry for the United States when it comes to great games”.
But the South Asian region has its own complexities. For too long, India has allowed itself to be influenced by Pakistan's possible reaction to whatever it might propose. It is almost axiomatic that Pakistan will oppose anything India proposes.
The United States also been too solicitous of the anxiety not to upset Pakistan because of Washington's own vital interests, in the process denying ourselves the opportunity to play any meaningful part in the diplomatic arena. Now, however, an opportunity has opened up for US to join the effort to work towards a regional approach. The U.S. can only welcome such help from us as it prepares to withdraw by 2014. Which it will not.
The US wants its strong presence to interdict China’s march towards global supremacy. Pakistan and India hardly matter.
If this is the game plan who is spoiling the very game by creating irritants in Pakistan’s port city of Karachi and coastal regions of Balochistan.
In this unending great game Pakistan has suffered too much and beyond its capacity.
It will again be forced to remain a player.