Iran threat to block oil route may cause speculators to raise gas prices
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Iran threat to block oil route may cause speculators to raise gas prices

Tehrān : Iran | Dec 28, 2011 at 10:33 AM PST
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An Iranian tanker in the Straits of Hormuz. Oil prices rose today amid fears Iran could block the strait.

As the US economy struggles to recover, a sharp spike in gas prices could lead to another economic slump. The prospect is real under a recent Iranian threat to block oil tankers from traveling through the Strait of Hormuz. However the real problem could be oil futures speculators.

It wouldn't be the first time Wall Street oil speculators defied the laws of supply and demand by driving up gas prices ahead of any actual change in availability.

According to a University of Massachusetts Amherst study cited by CBS News, "speculation in the oil futures market is having a big impact on prices at the pump."

Iran's threat to block the flow of one-sixth of the world's oil is in reaction to possible sanctions against the country.

"Western nations are growing increasingly impatient with Iran over its nuclear program. The U.S. and its allies have accused Iran of using its civilian nuclear program as a cover to develop nuclear weapons. Iran has denied the charges," according to USA Today.

Political instability in the Middle East has caused the price at the pump to fluctuate over the past several years. But the Public Interest Research group finds that speculators in the oil futures markets are the real culprits for rising gas prices.

"A decade ago, speculators controlled less than 30 percent of the oil futures market. Today, they control more than 70 percent."

Lawmakers claiming that more oil drilling will stablize American gas prices generally fail to inform the public that oil drilled in the US does not stay in the US.

No matter where oil is pumped, it is sold on the open market and oil futures traders set the prices.

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Iran threat to block oil route could raise gas prices
Speculators in oil futures markets are the real culprits for rising gas prices.

itobin53 is based in Tampa, Florida, United States of America, and is an Anchor for Allvoices.
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Posted By Vicky247 Vicky247 | 5 months ago
The situation is getting worse unless UN put an effective measure hope seems to lose control. rated up.
Posted By saleh1966 saleh1966 | 5 months ago
So far, the US has not fought an opponent that can actually fight back and that has somewhat makes them feel cocky..I think it's a mistake for the US to make enemies on the Iranians..Ten years of NATO war in Afghanistan and the US is now suing for negotiations with the Taliban.And for those of us who don't know, the Taliban's fighting capability is less than 1% of Iran's war capabilities, yet they've managed to hold down mighty NATO for 1o bloody years and counting..The US should think 10 times before making any move..
Rated up
Posted By northsunm32 northsunm32 | 5 months ago
The markets seem to be shrugging off Iranian threats. At least earlier today oil prices were declining already. I agree with Saleh by the way. Even if Iran were to gain nuclear weapons it is quite unlikely to use them since it knows the results could be disastrous. From the Iranian point of view they are being threatened by Israel and the U.S. among other both of whom have nuclear weapons.
Reply By saleh1966 saleh1966 | 5 months ago
Iran's economy is dependent on the sale of oil. Therefore they will only be hurting themself by preventing the sale of oil and as we all know war is extremely expensive. Also if Iran closes the strait of hurmuz it will be likely that the US will destroy Iran's infrastructures such as Oil refineries, gas production etc. however hopefully Iran will come to it's senses before it is too late.
Posted By itobin53 itobin53 | 5 months ago
the situation is extremely dangerous no matter how you look at it. So far it's just posturing but it could easily get out of control. Either way, speculators don't need much of an excuse to drive up oil prices.
Posted By jimiham James A. Hamilton | 5 months ago
Good reporting. It's logical for Iranians to hope they can drive up oil prices as threats to fragile western economies, beyond receiving more monetary gain in sales, and in addition to causing market instability in the face of possibly more sanctions. Given the response to Sayyari's "saber-rattling" by the U.S. Navy’s 5th Fleet that blocking traffic won't be tolerated, it would be more likely there'd be a show of naval force to back the Iranian navy down. If that didn't work, then Saleh is on target with infra-structure targets taken out (like the mysterious explosions within Iran of a few weeks ago).
Posted By itobin53 itobin53 | 5 months ago
its too easy for this to start a war and that is the part that is most unsettling.
Posted By StephEaly Stephanie Ealy | 5 months ago
Like Rosanna Rosanna Danna would say, "If it ain't one thing, it's another." Geesh, our economy is so shaky already let alone obstacles at every turn. Let's hope for a positive outcome, the last thing we need is another war.
Posted By mhatter99 Martin Kloess | 5 months ago
well written - thank you
Posted By loriannpen Lori Pendleton | 5 months ago
I'd like to see President Obama say, "Sure thing, Iran, go ahead. Those other countries won't mind being blocked at all."
Posted By itobin53 itobin53 | 5 months ago
that's not going to happen. Say what you will about Obama but he is better at foreign policy than out last 2 presidents put together. He is not flashy about it but he gets the job done. He got Bin Laden when everyone else failed.
Posted By nielica_01 nielica_01 | 5 months ago
very informative, well written, rated up..
Posted By Deepizzaguy George Vieto | 5 months ago
Let us hope cooler heads prevail in this case.
Posted By itobin53 itobin53 | 5 months ago
so far gas prices in my area have gone up about 11 cents a gallon
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